Futures Look Ahead - After Round 5

Where is the Model Looking?

Some good results for our model in round 5 meant we are in a good spot for our futures bets up to this point of the season.

If we assume any current odds of <2 as a "win" and any >=2 as a "loss", we can say we are up on the year 1 unit on our bets. Of course there are still 19 rounds of football to go and any team can finish in any position, but it is a good base to build from.

The model likes the usual suspects this round again, St Kilda, Essendon and Adelaide, but the suggested bets aren't that much different to previous weeks, resulting in a slower week for punting.

Futures Look Ahead

There are many double and triple up bets we could take going into round 6 but this feels like an overkill with so many wagers concentrated around the same markets as it stands.

We could go again on Richmond missing finals but we have 4.25 units there already. We could have a go at Carlton or Port Adelaide missing the 8 but again we have 1.5 units and 2 units there already. Should they be playing a harder opponent we could bet into that but I think the best bet is to let them play out this week and have a look next week. Marathon, not a sprint.

For this reason I am only suggesting one bet this week:
  • Fremantle finals - $3.85 ($3.09) 0.5 units
This moves our season total up to 29.25 units.

Good luck if playing and keep an eye out for the head to head bets which will have a three units of bets outlayed. 

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